AHFC Royals vs Twin City Toucans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
38.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AHFC Royals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
MIS
1 - 1
AHF
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
CCF
3 - 5
AHF
70%
16%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
RRO
2 - 1
AHF
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
AHF
1 - 0
HFC
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
LRR
1 - 0
AHF
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Twin City Toucans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
BVC
0 - 0
LRR
60%
19%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
RRO
1 - 2
BVC
44%
22%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
BVC
0 - 5
MIS
47%
21%
32%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
LRR
2 - 1
BVC
36%
22%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
BVC
0 - 1
CCF
57%
19%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |