Ahal FT vs Nebitçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahal FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2018 |
EFT
1 - 2
AHA
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
FKA
2 - 3
AHA
12%
20%
68%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
KAS
0 - 1
AHA
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
AHA
0 - 1
ALT
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
AHA
0 - 1
IST
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Nebitçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
MER
1 - 1
BFT
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
BFT
1 - 3
EFT
50%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
AGA
1 - 0
BFT
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BFT
2 - 3
KAS
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
AGA
4 - 0
BFT
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |