Aguilas del Lucero vs Goya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguilas del Lucero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ORC
2 - 1
ADL
38%
22%
40%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ADL
2 - 1
SAN
24%
21%
55%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ASO
1 - 1
ADL
62%
18%
20%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ADL
2 - 1
LMA
66%
19%
15%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CFM
3 - 2
ADL
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Goya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CDG
4 - 3
ESC
57%
18%
25%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
AGR
2 - 1
CDG
77%
13%
9%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ORC
1 - 1
CDG
48%
22%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CDG
1 - 4
SAN
38%
21%
41%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ASO
1 - 1
CDG
65%
18%
18%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |