Aguilarense vs Belmezano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguilarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AGU
3 - 0
MON
56%
22%
22%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 1
AGU
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
AGU
6 - 2
UDV
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CDA
1 - 2
AGU
48%
22%
30%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 1
PAL
28%
25%
47%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Belmezano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
REC
3 - 0
ADE
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
REC
46%
24%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
REC
1 - 1
ALM
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 0
REC
49%
23%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
REC
5 - 1
VLL
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |