CD Águila vs Once Lobos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
MUN
0 - 2
AGU
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
AGU
1 - 1
BAL
58%
22%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
SAL
2 - 0
AGU
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 0
AGU
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
AGU
0 - 0
FIR
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Once Lobos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
ONC
3 - 1
BAL
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 0
ONC
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
ONC
0 - 1
ONC
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ONC
2 - 1
FAS
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
MUN
1 - 1
ONC
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |