CD Águila vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
3º
1º
37
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 24 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 0
FAS
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 1
MET
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
AGU
22%
27%
50%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 0
FAS
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
FAS
1 - 0
AGU
29%
25%
45%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
ALI
15%
23%
62%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
JOC
0 - 3
ALI
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CDP
0 - 3
ALI
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 1
CDP
54%
21%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
CDP
1 - 1
ALI
23%
21%
57%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |