El Salvador Play Offs Clausura Semi-finals
Global 3-1
CD Águila vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 1
AGU
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 1
CHA
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 4
AGU
23%
23%
54%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 0
JUV
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
AGU
23%
28%
50%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 1
AGU
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 0
MET
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
MET
0 - 0
ALI
38%
25%
38%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 2
SFC
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CDD
1 - 1
ALI
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |