Paraense Inicial Etapas Finales. Semi-finals
Global 1-5
Aguia de Maraba vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
65.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
AGU
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
AGU
0 - 0
CAS
28%
26%
47%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
REM
1 - 1
AGU
75%
18%
7%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 0
CAS
27%
25%
48%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
AGU
2 - 1
TAP
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
PAY
1 - 0
TAP
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
TAP
3 - 4
PAY
10%
17%
73%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
CSA
4 - 1
PAY
75%
17%
9%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
4 - 0
PAY
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
TDC
0 - 3
PAY
10%
21%
69%
|
57 | 25 | 32 | 0 |