Aguadulce C.F. vs UD Morón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
71.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguadulce C.F.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
AGU
49%
22%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 4
CAZ
25%
22%
54%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RAC
1 - 1
AGU
62%
19%
19%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
UTR
24%
21%
55%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
PRU
2 - 1
AGU
48%
22%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UD Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
ECI
71%
15%
14%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 1
MOR
11%
19%
71%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
11 - 0
UDA
90%
7%
4%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FUE
0 - 3
MOR
17%
19%
64%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
6 - 1
ELT
80%
13%
8%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |