Aguacateros de Peribán vs UA Tamaulipas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
5º
1º
16
1º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
29 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aguacateros de Peribán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
AGU
1 - 1
ADP
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ADP
1 - 1
REB
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PDS
1 - 4
ADP
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ADP
3 - 3
IRA
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
IRA
0 - 0
ADP
65%
23%
13%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
UA Tamaulipas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
COR
2 - 3
GAV
14%
22%
65%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LUL
0 - 0
COR
28%
22%
49%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
COR
3 - 0
IRA
8%
16%
77%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | +3 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
LEO
3 - 0
COR
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
COR
0 - 1
LEO
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |