AGOVV Apeldoorn vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGOVV Apeldoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
BOS
2 - 0
APE
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
APE
1 - 0
FCD
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
HEL
1 - 2
APE
60%
22%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2008 |
APE
5 - 1
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2008 |
EIN
4 - 1
APE
45%
24%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
EXC
5 - 1
FOR
69%
19%
13%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
MVV
0 - 1
EXC
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 1
TEL
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
SCH
5 - 0
EXC
80%
13%
7%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 1
AZA
19%
22%
59%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |