Danish Superliga‎ Europa League Playoffs. Semi-finals

Global 2-3

AGF Aarhus vs Randers analysis

AGF Aarhus Randers
74 ELO 72
3.1% Tilt 14.7%
412º General ELO ranking 928º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
50.6%
AGF Aarhus
24.5%
Draw
24.9%
Randers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
AGF Aarhus
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.9%
Win probability
Randers
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AGF Aarhus
-2%
+4%
Randers

ELO progression

AGF Aarhus
Randers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AGF Aarhus
AGF Aarhus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2019
RAN
Randers
2 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
28%
27%
45%
75 71 4 0
12 May. 2019
AGF
AGF Aarhus
2 - 0
Aalborg BK
AAB
54%
24%
23%
75 71 4 0
05 May. 2019
AAB
Aalborg BK
0 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
33%
25%
41%
76 72 4 -1
28 Apr. 2019
AGF
AGF Aarhus
3 - 1
AC Horsens
ACH
68%
20%
13%
76 63 13 0
21 Apr. 2019
VEJ
Vejle BK
2 - 4
AGF Aarhus
AGF
23%
25%
53%
77 67 10 -1

Matches

Randers
Randers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 May. 2019
RAN
Randers
2 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
28%
27%
45%
71 75 4 0
12 May. 2019
RAN
Randers
4 - 3
SonderjyskE
SON
41%
27%
32%
72 68 4 -1
05 May. 2019
SON
SonderjyskE
1 - 1
Randers
RAN
33%
27%
40%
72 69 3 0
26 Apr. 2019
VEN
Vendsyssel
0 - 0
Randers
RAN
33%
27%
41%
73 69 4 -1
22 Apr. 2019
RAN
Randers
0 - 2
Aalborg BK
AAB
39%
28%
34%
74 73 1 -1
X