AGF Aarhus vs Midtjylland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
4º
11º
10º
6
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
9 | 34 |
1º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 33 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
|
5º
|
6 | 32 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 32 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 32 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 32 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 31 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 29 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 29 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
5 | 28 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 27 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 23 |
12º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
35.5% | 56.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
64.5% | 43.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
AGF
1 - 2
RAN
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
SON
1 - 1
AGF
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
AJA
1 - 1
AGF
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
AGF
0 - 0
OBK
41%
24%
36%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
AGF
2 - 1
ACH
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
HIB
1 - 2
MID
39%
23%
38%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2025 |
MID
6 - 2
SON
51%
23%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
MID
1 - 1
HIB
57%
22%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
MID
3 - 3
OBK
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
SBR
1 - 4
MID
34%
23%
43%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |