Danish Superliga Round 1

AGF Aarhus vs Lyngby BK analysis

AGF Aarhus Lyngby BK
76 ELO 70
5.3% Tilt 0.8%
296º General ELO ranking 1038º
Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
57.8%
AGF Aarhus
22.8%
Draw
19.4%
Lyngby BK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
AGF Aarhus
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.4%
Win probability
Lyngby BK
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AGF Aarhus
-15%
+8%
Lyngby BK

ELO progression

AGF Aarhus
Lyngby BK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AGF Aarhus
AGF Aarhus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 May. 2011
KBK
Køge BK
4 - 2
AGF Aarhus
AGF
28%
27%
45%
76 62 14 0
24 May. 2011
AGF
AGF Aarhus
1 - 1
Vejle BK
VEJ
69%
20%
12%
76 65 11 0
20 May. 2011
AGF
AGF Aarhus
2 - 1
Næstved
NAE
75%
17%
9%
76 59 17 0
13 May. 2011
FYN
Fyn
2 - 3
AGF Aarhus
AGF
19%
26%
55%
75 56 19 +1
08 May. 2011
VEN
Vendsyssel
1 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
14%
24%
62%
76 52 24 -1

Matches

Lyngby BK
Lyngby BK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 May. 2011
LYN
Lyngby BK
2 - 0
Odense BK
OBK
23%
25%
52%
68 83 15 0
25 May. 2011
SIF
Silkeborg IF
0 - 1
Lyngby BK
LYN
62%
21%
16%
67 75 8 +1
20 May. 2011
LYN
Lyngby BK
1 - 2
Brøndby IF
BIF
24%
24%
52%
67 82 15 0
15 May. 2011
SON
SonderjyskE
1 - 0
Lyngby BK
LYN
51%
24%
25%
68 70 2 -1
06 May. 2011
AAB
Aalborg BK
2 - 1
Lyngby BK
LYN
55%
25%
20%
68 79 11 0