AGF Aarhus vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
FCN
0 - 0
AGF
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
LAR
2 - 1
AGF
38%
24%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
AGF
1 - 1
BIF
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
AAB
1 - 0
AGF
37%
25%
39%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
AGF
0 - 1
FCN
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
LAR
2 - 1
AGF
38%
24%
38%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 0
BAL
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 1
LAR
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
LAR
2 - 2
KIL
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 2
COL
48%
24%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |