Danish Superliga Round 2

AGF Aarhus vs AC Horsens analysis

AGF Aarhus AC Horsens
64 ELO 69
9.5% Tilt 5.8%
307º General ELO ranking 1373º
Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
42.5%
AGF Aarhus
26.9%
Draw
30.6%
AC Horsens

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
AGF Aarhus
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.6%
Win probability
AC Horsens
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AGF Aarhus
-14%
+3%
AC Horsens

ELO progression

AGF Aarhus
AC Horsens
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AGF Aarhus
AGF Aarhus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jul. 2008
RAN
Randers
3 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
61%
23%
16%
63 73 10 0
24 May. 2008
AGF
AGF Aarhus
1 - 2
AC Horsens
ACH
47%
27%
26%
65 70 5 -2
18 May. 2008
MID
Midtjylland
3 - 2
AGF Aarhus
AGF
71%
19%
11%
65 80 15 0
15 May. 2008
ESB
Esbjerg
0 - 1
AGF Aarhus
AGF
70%
18%
12%
64 76 12 +1
11 May. 2008
AGF
AGF Aarhus
1 - 1
Brøndby IF
BIF
26%
26%
47%
64 81 17 0

Matches

AC Horsens
AC Horsens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jul. 2008
ACH
AC Horsens
2 - 0
SonderjyskE
SON
54%
24%
22%
70 64 6 0
24 May. 2008
AGF
AGF Aarhus
1 - 2
AC Horsens
ACH
47%
27%
26%
70 65 5 0
18 May. 2008
ACH
AC Horsens
3 - 1
Esbjerg
ESB
36%
26%
38%
70 76 6 0
15 May. 2008
RAN
Randers
0 - 0
AC Horsens
ACH
57%
25%
19%
69 73 4 +1
11 May. 2008
ACH
AC Horsens
2 - 2
Odense BK
OBK
28%
27%
46%
69 82 13 0