AGF Aarhus vs Brøndby IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
7º
5º
47
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MID
1 - 1
AGF
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AGF
1 - 0
LYN
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
OBK
1 - 1
AGF
44%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
AGF
2 - 2
SIF
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
HVI
0 - 2
AGF
28%
27%
46%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Brøndby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BIF
3 - 1
RAN
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
VEJ
0 - 1
BIF
29%
27%
45%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MID
0 - 1
BIF
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BIF
3 - 0
LYN
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FCN
3 - 1
BIF
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |