Şagadam vs Nebitçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
AGA
1 - 0
AGA
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MER
1 - 1
AGA
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
AGA
4 - 1
KAS
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ALT
1 - 1
AGA
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
AGA
1 - 2
AHA
21%
23%
57%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nebitçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2025 |
ALT
1 - 0
BFT
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
BFT
0 - 1
AHA
18%
22%
60%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
BFT
0 - 1
ARK
25%
23%
53%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
KAS
0 - 0
BFT
23%
20%
57%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
AGA
2 - 1
BFT
34%
24%
43%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |