African Lyon vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
African Lyon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
AZA
2 - 1
AFR
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2010 |
AFR
1 - 2
JKT
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2010 |
AFR
1 - 0
ASH
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
MMA
0 - 1
AFR
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
SIM
2 - 0
AFR
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
YOU
2 - 0
KAG
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
MTI
2 - 1
KAG
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
KAG
1 - 0
AZA
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
KAG
1 - 0
RUV
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
KAG
0 - 1
JKT
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |