Afogados vs Flamengo Arcoverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ADJ
0 - 4
AFO
12%
16%
72%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AFO
4 - 0
FEC
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SAL
3 - 2
AFO
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AFO
1 - 0
ISC
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PET
4 - 2
AFO
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo Arcoverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FEC
4 - 2
VCR
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MAI
0 - 1
FEC
17%
18%
65%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FEC
0 - 1
ACA
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
LIM
0 - 1
FEC
20%
20%
60%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
FEC
0 - 3
MAG
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |