Afogados vs Flamengo Arcoverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 1
AFO
31%
23%
46%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
AFO
1 - 1
TFC
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
AFO
3 - 0
LIM
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LIM
0 - 0
AFO
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AFO
4 - 0
FEC
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo Arcoverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
CAB
1 - 4
FEC
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
FEC
0 - 0
CAB
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
FEC
2 - 1
ISC
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ISC
0 - 0
FEC
20%
21%
59%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FEC
5 - 0
CAB
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |