AFC Wimbledon vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1989 |
POR
1 - 2
AFC
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1988 |
AFC
0 - 1
QPR
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1988 |
QPR
0 - 0
AFC
89%
8%
3%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1988 |
AFC
2 - 1
MUD
17%
25%
58%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 1988 |
AFC
0 - 1
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1989 |
POR
0 - 0
LEE
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1989 |
BOU
1 - 0
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
STO
1 - 1
POR
56%
24%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1989 |
POR
1 - 2
AFC
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
WAT
1 - 0
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |