AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BOL
1 - 1
AFC
53%
26%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
SCU
1 - 2
AFC
56%
25%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 0
WAL
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
GIL
2 - 2
AFC
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
STF
2 - 1
AFC
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
NOR
2 - 1
CHA
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 2
OLD
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FLE
3 - 0
NOR
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 2
NOR
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWI
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |