League Two Round 43

AFC Wimbledon vs Newport County analysis

AFC Wimbledon Newport County
54 ELO 55
4.5% Tilt -3.8%
2143º General ELO ranking 4202º
59º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
45.8%
AFC Wimbledon
25%
Draw
29.2%
Newport County

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
AFC Wimbledon
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
29.2%
Win probability
Newport County
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AFC Wimbledon
+11%
-17%
Newport County

ELO progression

AFC Wimbledon
Newport County
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2014
SOU
Southend United
0 - 1
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
58%
24%
18%
53 60 7 0
05 Apr. 2014
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
0 - 0
Bristol Rovers
BRO
47%
25%
28%
53 54 1 0
29 Mar. 2014
MAN
Mansfield Town
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
54%
23%
22%
53 55 2 0
25 Mar. 2014
NOR
Northampton
2 - 2
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
49%
25%
27%
53 53 0 0
22 Mar. 2014
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
4 - 3
Cheltenham Town
CHE
40%
26%
33%
52 57 5 +1

Matches

Newport County
Newport County
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2014
NEW
Newport County
2 - 0
Wycombe Wanderers
WYC
51%
25%
24%
54 53 1 0
08 Apr. 2014
NEW
Newport County
1 - 2
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
48%
26%
27%
54 56 2 0
05 Apr. 2014
CHE
Chesterfield
1 - 1
Newport County
NEW
65%
21%
14%
54 63 9 0
29 Mar. 2014
NEW
Newport County
1 - 2
Portsmouth
OPA
58%
23%
20%
55 51 4 -1
25 Mar. 2014
NEW
Newport County
0 - 0
Bury
BCF
48%
25%
28%
55 55 0 0