AFC Wimbledon vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
OLD
0 - 0
AFC
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 0
AFC
20%
23%
57%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BCF
2 - 2
AFC
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 3
BRA
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
POS
0 - 1
AFC
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BCF
1 - 4
SOU
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
STC
1 - 1
BCF
12%
18%
71%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BCF
2 - 2
AFC
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
NOR
3 - 2
BCF
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
BCF
0 - 2
BOL
44%
26%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |