AFC Telford United vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
ABE
0 - 1
AFC
84%
12%
5%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 2
STF
16%
22%
62%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
AFC
0 - 3
ASV
9%
17%
74%
|
38 | 72 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BOS
1 - 0
AFC
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 2
AFC
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 1
BCF
29%
24%
48%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 1
STA
14%
21%
65%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SPE
2 - 1
SOU
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
DAR
2 - 4
SOU
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 1
BRA
17%
23%
60%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |