AFC Telford United vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
BAR
3 - 0
AFC
55%
25%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2002 |
STE
1 - 3
AFC
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
AFC
0 - 2
BUR
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2002 |
DAG
1 - 1
AFC
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
AFC
4 - 4
DON
40%
28%
33%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
SOU
0 - 0
FAR
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2002 |
SOU
4 - 2
LEI
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
EBB
1 - 3
SOU
47%
25%
27%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2002 |
SOU
0 - 0
KET
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
FOR
0 - 2
SOU
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |