Non League Div One Isthmian North Round 36

AFC Sudbury vs Tilbury analysis

AFC Sudbury Tilbury
28 ELO 33
5% Tilt 13.3%
8180º General ELO ranking 9975º
333º Country ELO ranking 499º
ELO win probability
37.6%
AFC Sudbury
24%
Draw
38.4%
Tilbury

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
AFC Sudbury
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
38.4%
Win probability
Tilbury
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AFC Sudbury
-11%
-11%
Tilbury

ELO progression

AFC Sudbury
Tilbury
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Sudbury
AFC Sudbury
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2013
NEE
Needham Market
1 - 3
AFC Sudbury
YEL
63%
20%
18%
27 33 6 0
30 Mar. 2013
YEL
AFC Sudbury
2 - 4
Wroxham
WRO
53%
22%
25%
28 28 0 -1
27 Mar. 2013
ROM
Romford
5 - 2
AFC Sudbury
YEL
37%
24%
39%
30 26 4 -2
16 Mar. 2013
THA
Thamesmead Town FC
1 - 0
AFC Sudbury
YEL
64%
19%
17%
30 38 8 0
09 Mar. 2013
YEL
AFC Sudbury
0 - 1
Ilford FC
ILF
86%
10%
4%
31 14 17 -1

Matches

Tilbury
Tilbury
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2013
TIL
Tilbury
1 - 2
Romford
ROM
60%
21%
20%
34 27 7 0
30 Mar. 2013
CHA
Chatham Town
1 - 2
Tilbury
TIL
29%
24%
47%
33 26 7 +1
26 Mar. 2013
TIL
Tilbury
2 - 1
Cheshunt
CHE
46%
23%
31%
32 31 1 +1
19 Mar. 2013
GRA
Grays Athletic
4 - 2
Tilbury
TIL
68%
19%
13%
33 45 12 -1
05 Mar. 2013
TIL
Tilbury
1 - 0
Harlow Town
HAR
65%
19%
15%
33 25 8 0