AFC Sudbury vs Thamesmead Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
HEY
4 - 2
YEL
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
AVE
4 - 1
YEL
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
YEL
3 - 6
ROM
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
WAL
2 - 2
YEL
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
YEL
1 - 1
POT
57%
22%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Thamesmead Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
TIL
0 - 1
THA
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
THA
1 - 0
WAR
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
WRO
4 - 3
THA
31%
25%
45%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
THA
1 - 0
RED
58%
21%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
THA
3 - 0
WAL
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |