AFC Sudbury vs Heybridge Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 0
YEL
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
THA
2 - 1
YEL
26%
23%
50%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
YEL
4 - 1
SOH
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 1
YEL
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
YEL
1 - 2
GRA
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HEY
1 - 3
CHE
68%
19%
14%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
RED
3 - 1
HEY
66%
20%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
HEY
1 - 0
MAL
32%
25%
44%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SOH
1 - 1
HEY
33%
25%
43%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
HEY
0 - 2
TIL
32%
24%
43%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -2 |