AFC Sudbury vs Dereham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 3
YEL
26%
22%
52%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
POT
0 - 1
YEL
18%
19%
63%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
YEL
3 - 0
CTF
48%
22%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 1
YEL
42%
24%
35%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
COC
1 - 2
YEL
34%
22%
44%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dereham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
GRE
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ENF
2 - 1
DER
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
FEL
2 - 0
DER
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
DER
3 - 1
HTG
60%
19%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
COG
0 - 2
DER
15%
17%
68%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | +1 |