AFC Mansfield vs Athersley Recreation analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.4%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.5%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Mansfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
ECC
3 - 1
MAN
68%
18%
15%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
GAR
0 - 1
MAN
65%
17%
18%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
GOO
2 - 0
MAN
32%
23%
46%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 2
WIN
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
GBO
5 - 1
MAN
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Athersley Recreation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
ATH
2 - 4
PEN
7%
14%
79%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
ECC
1 - 1
ATH
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
GBO
2 - 1
ATH
93%
5%
2%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ATH
0 - 4
STA
7%
14%
79%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
GAR
4 - 0
ATH
95%
4%
1%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |