AFC Leopards vs Tusker FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
THI
1 - 2
AFC
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
AFC
6 - 2
POS
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
KCB
1 - 2
AFC
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 1
WES
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GOR
0 - 0
AFC
47%
28%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tusker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TUS
2 - 2
MAT
60%
25%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SON
0 - 1
TUS
32%
29%
39%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ULI
0 - 2
TUS
43%
28%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
TUS
0 - 0
KCB
54%
27%
19%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
TUS
2 - 2
KAR
56%
27%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |