AFC Hornchurch vs Cray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
HOR
2 - 1
HAR
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
BOG
4 - 2
HOR
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
HOR
0 - 2
DAR
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SUT
4 - 1
HOR
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
MAI
0 - 0
HOR
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
HEN
2 - 0
CRA
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CRA
1 - 2
CAN
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRA
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CRA
1 - 2
HAS
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
TOO
0 - 2
CRA
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |