AFC Hornchurch vs Bognor Regis Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ENF
2 - 2
HOR
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
WIN
1 - 1
HOR
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
HOR
3 - 0
LEA
34%
27%
39%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
WAL
2 - 2
HOR
10%
17%
73%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 1
HOR
16%
20%
64%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Bognor Regis Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BOG
3 - 0
BIS
54%
21%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
BOG
3 - 1
MER
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
HAR
2 - 2
BOG
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
BOG
1 - 5
OPA
11%
18%
72%
|
28 | 59 | 31 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BOG
1 - 2
DAR
10%
20%
70%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |