AFC Hornchurch vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
HOR
2 - 0
MIL
80%
14%
6%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
WHI
1 - 6
HOR
19%
22%
60%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
HOR
1 - 0
HEY
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 6
HOR
19%
22%
59%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
HOR
1 - 0
POT
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 3
HAR
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
AVE
0 - 5
MAL
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
HER
0 - 3
AVE
26%
22%
52%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 3
AVE
29%
22%
49%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
HEY
3 - 0
AVE
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |