AFC Hornchurch vs Ashford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
BIL
0 - 2
HOR
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2007 |
RAM
1 - 1
HOR
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
HOR
2 - 1
FOL
72%
19%
10%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 1
HOR
30%
26%
43%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
MAI
0 - 2
HOR
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ashford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
RAM
3 - 1
ASH
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
LFC
0 - 3
ASH
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
HAR
1 - 2
ASH
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
ASH
4 - 1
BIL
28%
26%
47%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +4 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
CHM
4 - 0
ASH
77%
14%
8%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |