AFC Hayes vs Rugby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
34.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hayes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 1
AFH
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
AFH
2 - 1
NOR
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BED
2 - 1
AFH
59%
22%
20%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
AFH
1 - 1
BAR
39%
24%
38%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BIG
3 - 0
AFH
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Rugby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NOR
4 - 0
RUG
27%
23%
50%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
RUG
1 - 0
BED
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 2
RUG
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
RUG
3 - 3
FLE
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BEA
0 - 0
RUG
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |