AFC Hayes vs Chalfont St Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
21.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hayes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
ASH
0 - 0
AFH
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
AFH
52%
23%
26%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
AFH
2 - 4
BED
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
AFH
1 - 1
BIG
35%
25%
41%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
AYL
2 - 0
AFH
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Chalfont St Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2011 |
BEA
3 - 0
CHA
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
SLO
20%
21%
59%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +3 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
RUG
2 - 1
CHA
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 2
DAV
29%
24%
47%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
UXB
0 - 0
CHA
80%
13%
8%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |