AFC Bournemouth vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 0
LEI
35%
25%
41%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BUR
3 - 2
BOU
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
BOU
4 - 3
LIV
22%
23%
55%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ARS
3 - 1
BOU
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
STO
0 - 1
BOU
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
STO
0 - 0
SOU
45%
27%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 0
MID
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
HBS
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CRY
3 - 0
SOU
34%
28%
38%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
ARS
0 - 2
SOU
64%
22%
15%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |