AFC Bournemouth vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
PLY
0 - 0
BOU
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
BOU
1 - 0
QPR
28%
26%
45%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 1
BOU
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
BOU
2 - 1
POR
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
SWI
2 - 1
BOU
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
QPR
3 - 2
NOT
67%
20%
12%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
NOT
1 - 1
BAR
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
NOT
1 - 2
SWI
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
WRE
0 - 1
NOT
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
NOT
1 - 2
BRI
29%
25%
45%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |