AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
63.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
BIR
1 - 2
BOU
16%
21%
63%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BOU
0 - 2
WAT
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
WBA
1 - 0
BOU
45%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
BOU
2 - 2
NAP
16%
20%
64%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
YEO
1 - 3
BOU
7%
16%
76%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 1
EVE
60%
21%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
GIR
1 - 0
MAC
14%
20%
67%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BHA
0 - 2
MAC
11%
18%
72%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
WHU
0 - 3
MAC
27%
24%
49%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
MAC
3 - 0
TOT
52%
23%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |