League Two Round 33

AFC Bournemouth vs Exeter City analysis

AFC Bournemouth Exeter City
59 ELO 48
3.2% Tilt -3%
71º General ELO ranking 2068º
11º Country ELO ranking 58º
ELO win probability
65.1%
AFC Bournemouth
20.4%
Draw
14.5%
Exeter City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
AFC Bournemouth
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.5%
Win probability
Exeter City
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AFC Bournemouth
+1%
-6%
Exeter City

ELO progression

AFC Bournemouth
Exeter City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Feb. 2003
BRO
Bristol Rovers
0 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
32%
28%
40%
59 48 11 0
11 Feb. 2003
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
3 - 0
Swansea City
SWA
64%
21%
16%
58 48 10 +1
08 Feb. 2003
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
2 - 0
Wrexham AFC
WRE
49%
24%
27%
57 57 0 +1
04 Feb. 2003
KID
Kidderminster Harriers
1 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
43%
27%
31%
58 56 2 -1
01 Feb. 2003
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
2 - 1
Boston United
BOS
57%
23%
20%
57 54 3 +1

Matches

Exeter City
Exeter City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2003
EXE
Exeter City
2 - 5
Kidderminster Harriers
KID
34%
28%
37%
49 57 8 0
15 Feb. 2003
EXE
Exeter City
0 - 2
Boston United
BOS
39%
28%
33%
50 54 4 -1
11 Feb. 2003
GUL
Torquay United
1 - 0
Exeter City
EXE
58%
23%
19%
51 56 5 -1
08 Feb. 2003
HAR
Hartlepool United
2 - 1
Exeter City
EXE
73%
17%
10%
51 63 12 0
01 Feb. 2003
EXE
Exeter City
1 - 1
Shrewsbury Town
STF
39%
26%
35%
51 54 3 0