AFC Bournemouth vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
STF
0 - 3
BOU
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BOU
3 - 1
NOT
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
BOU
1 - 0
SCU
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
COL
0 - 1
BOU
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BOU
4 - 1
BCF
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CUM
1 - 1
PNE
51%
24%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
DON
0 - 2
CUM
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
OLD
1 - 2
CUM
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
SHE
0 - 0
CUM
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
CUM
2 - 2
STF
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |