AFC Arhem vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
44.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Arhem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
BEQ
2 - 3
ARH
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SCN
2 - 5
ARH
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ARH
1 - 2
GER
51%
21%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SWZ
7 - 0
ARH
78%
15%
8%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARH
2 - 5
DEB
46%
22%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 2
DEB
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GER
1 - 3
ALC
31%
24%
46%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
BEQ
4 - 2
ALC
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 2
ROH
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MSC
4 - 1
ALC
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |