AFC '34 vs BOL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
19.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
2º
6º
4º
30
11º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 31 |
15º
|
69.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 69.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC '34
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 4
SWI
47%
23%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
HED
2 - 4
AFC
43%
23%
34%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ALP
0 - 3
AFC
24%
20%
56%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HUI
3 - 1
AFC
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 1
AJA
35%
25%
41%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
BOL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 1
HOO
26%
22%
52%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 2
PUR
18%
23%
59%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SVH
2 - 0
BOL
65%
19%
15%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HED
3 - 0
BOL
60%
20%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ALP
1 - 2
BOL
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |