Afan Lido vs Aberdare Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
21.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LID
2 - 0
CAR
79%
14%
8%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
GAR
0 - 1
LID
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
LID
2 - 0
TON
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
BRI
2 - 2
LID
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LID
5 - 1
BUT
86%
10%
5%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Aberdare Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
7 - 2
ABE
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ABE
0 - 2
GOY
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
PEN
5 - 0
ABE
60%
19%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAR
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CWM
0 - 3
ABE
8%
13%
80%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |