AFAD vs Denguelé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
28.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
STE
1 - 1
AFA
47%
29%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
AFA
0 - 0
ASE
47%
29%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
AFA
1 - 1
SOA
44%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
AFA
1 - 0
KOR
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
AFA
47%
28%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Denguelé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
AFR
0 - 1
DEN
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
DEN
1 - 2
SPO
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
JCA
3 - 2
DEN
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
SEW
2 - 1
DEN
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
DEN
2 - 0
SOA
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |