AF Elbasani vs Luzi 2008 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
19.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+219%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
9º
1º
31
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
BYL
0 - 0
ELB
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ELB
5 - 2
LUZ
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 3
ELB
32%
26%
43%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ELB
1 - 1
FLA
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 1
ELB
33%
27%
40%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luzi 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LUZ
2 - 0
BUR
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ELB
5 - 2
LUZ
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 2
BES
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
APO
1 - 0
LUZ
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LUZ
1 - 2
LUS
41%
25%
35%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |