Aerostar Bacău vs CSM Bacău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
44.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
5º
9º
8º
32
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
92% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 32 |
3º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 28 |
4º
|
91.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 24 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 23 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 18 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 18 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
10º
|
71% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aerostar Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
TII
2 - 0
AER
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
AER
1 - 2
ACS
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VAS
0 - 0
AER
25%
20%
54%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
AER
1 - 0
RAP
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ACS
3 - 1
AER
37%
22%
41%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CSM Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CSM
0 - 2
ACS
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BUC
0 - 2
CSM
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CSM
3 - 0
RAP
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
RAP
2 - 0
CSM
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TII
0 - 1
CSM
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |